blanketglossary

Decision theory

Definition

Decision theory or the theory of rational choice is a branch of probability, economics, and analytic philosophy that uses expected utility and probability to model how individuals would behave rationally under uncertainty. It differs from the cognitive and behavioral sciences in that it is mainly prescriptive and concerned with identifying optimal decisions for a rational agent, rather than describing how people actually make decisions. Despite this, the field is important to the study of real human behavior by social scientists, as it lays the foundations to mathematically model and analyze individuals in fields such as sociology, economics, criminology, cognitive science, moral philosophy and political science.

Related concepts

AFM SmithAbilene paradoxAbraham WaldAdam SmithAdmissible decision ruleAdrian Smith (academic)Agent-based computational economicsAgricultural economicsAlan GreenspanAlexander LernerAlexey LyapunovAlfred MarshallAlfred Radcliffe-BrownAlgebraAlgebra of physical spaceAlgebraic structureAlgorithmAlgorithm designAllais paradoxAllenna LeonardAmartya SenAmbiguity aversionAmerican School (economics)Amos TverskyAnalysis of algorithmsAnalytic hierarchy processAnalytic network processAnalytic philosophyAnalytical mechanicsAnchoring (cognitive bias)Ancient economic thoughtAnnals of Mathematical StatisticsAnscombe-Aumann subjective expected utility modelAnthony WildenAntoine Augustin CournotApplied economicsApplied mathematicsApportionment paradoxApproximation theoryAreas of mathematicsArgument from free willArrow's impossibility theoremArrow information paradoxArthur Cecil PigouArtificial intelligenceAttention economyAustrian SchoolAutomata theoryAutomated theorem provingAxiomBarber paradoxBarbershop paradoxBayesian decision theoryBayesian epistemologyBayesian probabilityBayesian statisticsBehavioral economicsBehavioural sciencesBernard de MandevilleBerry paradoxBertrand paradox (economics)Bhartrhari's paradoxBiocyberneticsBiomedical cyberneticsBioroboticsBiosemioticsBlaise PascalBosonic string theoryBounded rationalityBraess' paradoxBrain–computer interfaceBruno de FinettiBuckminster FullerBuddhist economicsBurali-Forti paradoxBuridan's assBuridan's bridgeBusiness economicsCalculusCalculus of variationsCard paradoxCarl MengerCatastrophe theoryCatch-22 (logic)Causal decision theoryCertainty effectChainstore paradoxChaos theoryCharles François (systems scientist)ChartalismChicago school of economicsChicken or the eggChoice architectureChoice modellingChoice theory (disambiguation)Christiaan HuygensClassical economicsClassical field theoryClaude BernardCliff JoslynClifford algebraClifford analysisCoding theoryCognitive biasCognitive scienceCoherence (fairness)CombinatoricsComplexity economicsComputational economicsComputational geometryComputational mathematicsComputational neuroscienceComputational number theoryComputational statisticsComputer algebraCondorcet paradoxConformal field theoryConnectionismConstraint programmingConstraint satisfactionConstraint satisfaction problemContract theoryControl theoryConversation theoryCorinna LöckenhoffCost-benefitCost-effectiveness analysisCost–benefit analysisCost–utility analysisCriminologyCritique of political economyCrocodile dilemmaCryptographyCultural economicsCurry's paradoxCyberneticistCyberneticsCybernetics in the Soviet UnionCybersemioticsDaniel BernoulliDaniel EllsbergDaniel KahnemanDavid BlackwellDavid RicardoDavid SchmeidlerDecision-makingDecision-making paradoxDecision-matrix methodDecision analysisDecision conferencingDecision curve analysisDecision field theoryDecision makingDecision qualityDecision ruleDecision support systemDecision tableDecision treeDecisional balance sheetDecisionmaking under deep uncertaintyDecoy effectDemographic economicsDempster–Shafer theoryDescriptive economicsDevelopment economicsDifferential equationDifferential formDifferential geometryDiscrete geometryDiscrete mathematicsDisequilibrium macroeconomicsDisposition effectDistinction biasDonald Davidson (philosopher)Downs–Thomson paradoxDream argumentDrinker paradoxDutch bookDynamical systemE. F. SchumacherE. L. LehmannEasterlin paradoxEcological economicsEconometricsEconomic democracyEconomic geographyEconomic historyEconomic planningEconomic policyEconomic statisticsEconomicsEconomics of participationEconomistEdgeworth paradoxEducation economicsEffective field theoryEli HeckscherElinor OstromEllsberg paradoxEmergenceEmotional choice theoryEndowment effectEngineering cyberneticsEngineering economicsEnvironmental economicsEpicurean paradoxEpimenides paradoxErich von HolstErnst von GlasersfeldEstimation theoryEugen von Böhm-BawerkEuropean Community on Computational Methods in Applied SciencesEuropean paradoxEvidential decision theoryEvolutionary economicsExpected utilityExpected utility hypothesisExpected valueExpected value of including uncertaintyExpected value of perfect informationExpected value of sample informationExperimental economicsExploration–exploitation dilemmaExterior algebraExterior calculusFeminist economicsFenno's paradoxField theory (physics)Financial economicsFitch's paradox of knowabilityFourier analysisFraming effect (psychology)Francis HeylighenFrancis Ysidro EdgeworthFrancisco VarelaFrank KnightFrank P. RamseyFrançois QuesnayFrederic VesterFredkin's paradoxFree choice inferenceFreiwirtschaftFrequentist statisticsFriedrich HayekFriedrich ListFriedrich von WieserFrédéric BastiatFunctional analysisFunctional integrationFuzzy-trace theoryFuzzy logicGambler's fallacyGame theoryGary BeckerGauge theoryGauge theory (mathematics)Genevieve BellGeoffrey VickersGeomathematicsGeometric algebraGeometric analysisGeometric calculusGeometryGeorgismGerd GigerenzerGibson's paradoxGiffen goodGittins indexGlossary of economicsGordon PaskGordon S. BrownGraph theoryGreek GoddessGregory BatesonGrelling–Nelson paradoxGunnar MyrdalHamiltonian mechanicsHans-Hermann HoppeHappiness economicsHarmonic analysis (mathematics)Health economicsHeat death paradoxHedgehog's dilemmaHeinz von FoersterHenry GeorgeHerbert A. SimonHermann Heinrich GossenHeterodox economicsHeuristicHeuristicsHeuristics in judgment and decision-makingHilbert's paradox of the Grand HotelHistorical school of economicsHistory of economic thoughtHistory of mathematicsHomeostasisHouse monotonicityHoward RaiffaHumanistic economicsHumberto MaturanaHyperbolic discountingI. A. RichardsI know that I know nothingIcarus paradoxIgor AleksanderImperative logicIncome and fertilityIndex of economics articlesInflationInfluence diagramInfo-gap decision theoryInformation economicsInformation theoryInfrastructure and economicsInstitutional economicsInterest rateInternational Council for Industrial and Applied MathematicsIntertemporal choiceInventor's paradoxIrving FisherItzhak GilboaJacque FrescoJakob Johann von UexküllJames Berger (statistician)James M. BuchananJan TinbergenJapan Society for Industrial and Applied MathematicsJason Jixuan HuJay Wright ForresterJean-Baptiste SayJennifer WilbyJevons paradoxJoan RobinsonJohann Heinrich von ThünenJohn Bates ClarkJohn HicksJohn Kenneth GalbraithJohn Maynard KeynesJohn N. WarfieldJohn Stuart MillJohn von NeumannJoseph JastrowJoseph SchumpeterJoseph StiglitzJosé-Miguel BernardoJudgement of ParisKarl MarxKarl PolanyiKavka's toxin puzzleKenneth ArrowKevin WarwickKeynesian economicsKleene–Rosser paradoxL. J. SavageLabour economicsLagrangian mechanicsLausanne SchoolLaw and economicsLeonard J. SavageLeontief paradoxLerner paradoxLeximinLiar paradoxLiberal paradoxLife expectancyList of arbitrary-precision arithmetic softwareList of economics journalsList of economistsList of finite element software packagesList of important publications in economicsList of interactive geometry softwareList of mathematics topicsList of numerical-analysis softwareList of optimization softwareList of paradoxesList of statistical softwareLists of mathematics topicsLogic in computer scienceLoss aversionLoss functionLottery paradoxLucas paradoxLudic fallacyLudwig von BertalanffyLudwig von MisesLéon WalrasMacroeconomicsMainstream economicsMaleyka AbbaszadehMalliavin calculusMalthusianismManagement cyberneticsManagerial economicsMandeville's paradoxManfred ClynesMargaret BodenMargaret MeadMarginalismMarian MazurMartin ShubikMarxian economicsMathematical analysisMathematical and theoretical biologyMathematical chemistryMathematical economicsMathematical financeMathematical linguisticsMathematical logicMathematical modelMathematical optimizationMathematical physicsMathematical psychologyMathematical sociologyMathematical softwareMathematicsMathematics educationMaurice AllaisMayfield's paradoxMechanism designMedical cyberneticsMenoMercantilismMere addition paradoxMetzler paradoxMichał KaleckiMicroeconomicsMilitary plannersMilton FriedmanMinimaxMixed economyModern monetary theoryMonetary circuit theoryMoore's paradoxMoral philosophyMorris H. DeGrootMorton's forkMulti-attribute utilityMulti-criteria decision makingMultilinear algebraMultiple-criteria decision analysisMultivariable calculusMurray RothbardMutualism (economic theory)N. Katherine HaylesNatalia BekhterevaNatural resource economicsNaturalistic decision-makingNavigation paradoxNeo-Keynesian economicsNeo-Marxian economicsNeoclassical economicsNeoclassical synthesisNew Keynesian economicsNew classical macroeconomicsNew institutional economicsNew riddle of inductionNewcomb's paradoxNewcomb's problemNiklas LuhmannNon-monetary economyNorbert WienerNorm (philosophy)Normative model of decision-makingNo–no paradoxNumber theoryNumerical analysisNumerical linear algebraNumerical methods for ordinary differential equationsNumerical methods for partial differential equationsOlbers's paradoxOmnipotence paradoxOperations researchOperator algebraOperator theoryOpposite DayOptimal decisionOrdinary differential equationOrganizational economicsOskar MorgensternOskar R. LangeOutline of economicsParadoxParadox of analysisParadox of competitionParadox of fictionParadox of hedonismParadox of nihilismParadox of prosperityParadox of the CourtParadox of thriftParadox of toilParadox of toleranceParadox of valueParadox of votingParadoxes of material implicationParadoxes of set theoryParrondo's paradoxPartial differential equationParticle physics and representation theoryPascal's WagerPath dependencePath integral formulationPatrick SuppesPaul KrugmanPaul SamuelsonPeirce, Charles SandersPenséesPersonnel economicsPerturbation theoryPerturbation theory (quantum mechanics)Peter C. FishburnPeter WakkerPetro GrigorenkoPhilosophy of mathematicsPhysiocracyPiero SraffaPierre de FermatPignistic probabilityPinocchio paradoxPlato's beardPluralism in economicsPoisson algebraPolitical sciencePositive economicsPossibility theoryPost-Keynesian economicsPotential theoryPreface paradoxPreference (economics)Preparedness paradoxPrescriptive economicsPrevention paradoxPrice theoryPrinciple of indifferencePrior distributionPrior probabilityPrisoner's dilemmaProbabilitiesProbabilityProbability distributionProbability theoryProductivity paradoxProspect theoryPseudocertainty effectPublic choicePublic economicsQian XuesenQuantum cognitionQuantum field theoryQuantum groupQuine's paradoxR. Duncan LuceRabin's paradoxRagnar FrischRandom variableRanulph GlanvilleRational agentRational choice modelsRational choice theoryRationalityRaven paradoxReal business-cycle theoryRecognition-primed decisionReference dependenceRegional economicsRegret (decision theory)Regulatory economicsRenormalization groupResource curseRichard's paradoxRichard ThalerRichard Threlkeld CoxRisk-seekingRisk aversionRisk functionRobert Lucas Jr.Robert SolowRobert TrapplRobust decision-makingRobust statisticsRouletteRubicon modelRural economicsRussell's paradoxSatisficingSavage's subjective expected utility modelSchools of economic thoughtScitovsky paradoxScoring ruleSecond-order cyberneticsSecretary problemSensitivity analysisSergei P. KurdyumovService economyService recovery paradoxShip of TheseusSidney SiegelSignal detection theorySilvio GesellSimon KuznetsSimulationSmall-numbers gameSocial choiceSocial choice theorySocial scienceSocialist economicsSociety for Industrial and Applied MathematicsSocio-cognitiveSociocyberneticsSociologySociété de Mathématiques Appliquées et IndustriellesSolverSorites paradoxSpacetime algebraSt. Petersburg paradoxStafford BeerStanford University PressState-population monotonicityStatistical field theoryStatistical hypothesis testingStatisticsStatus quo biasStochastic calculusStochastic differential equationStochastic dominanceStochastic processStochastic transitivityStockholm School (economics)Strategic dominanceString theoryStuart KauffmanStuart UmplebySubjective expected utilitySubjective probabilitySunk costSuperalgebraSupersymmetric quantum mechanicsSupersymmetric theory of stochastic dynamicsSupersymmetrySupersymmetry algebraSupply-side economicsSure-thing principleSynergetics (Haken)TOTREPTalcott ParsonsTemperature paradoxTensorTensor calculusTensor softwareThe Antitrust ParadoxThe Green ParadoxThe Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural SciencesThermoeconomicsThomas PikettyThomas Robert MalthusThomas SowellThorstein VeblenTime inconsistencyTjalling KoopmansTopic outline of mathematicsTopological field theoryTopological string theoryTransport economicsTullock paradoxTwo envelopes problemUlla MitzdorfUncertaintyUnexpected hanging paradoxUnknown unknownsUrban economicsUtility functionUtility theoryValentin TurchinValentino BraitenbergValidated numericsValue of informationVector calculusVilfredo ParetoVon Neumann–Morgenstern utility theoremW. Ross AshbyWalter Bradford CannonWalter PittsWarren Sturgis McCullochWassily LeontiefWelfare economicsWhat the Tortoise Said to AchillesWhite Horse DialogueWilhelm RöpkeWilliam BaumolWilliam Grey WalterWilliam Stanley JevonsWillpower paradoxWittgenstein on Rules and Private LanguageWorld War IIYablo's paradoxZeno's paradoxes

60 concepts already in your glossary